Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 061143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Cristobal, centered over the central Gulf of Mexico.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a cold front a
few hundred miles east or northeast of Bermuda by the middle of
next week. Some development of this system is possible while it
moves northwestward or west-northwestward over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Summary for Tropical Storm Cristobal (AT3/AL032020)

...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...
 As of 10:00 AM CDT Sat Jun 6
 the center of Cristobal was located near 24.2, -90.1
 with movement N at 12 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 994 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm Cristobal Public Advisory Number 20

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020  

000
WTNT33 KNHC 061448
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020
 
...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 90.1W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Storm Surge Watch for the Florida Big Bend has been replaced
with coastal flood advisories and statements from local National
Weather Service offices.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Intracoastal City
to Morgan City Louisiana.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne
 
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
 
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a
life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.
 
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal
was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 90.1 West.  
Cristobal is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this 
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, 
followed by a gradual turn toward the north-northwest.  On the 
forecast track, the center of Cristobal will move northward over the 
central Gulf of Mexico today and tonight, and will be near the 
northern Gulf of Mexico coast on Sunday.  Cristobal's center is then 
forecast to move inland across Louisiana late Sunday through Monday 
morning, and northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday 
afternoon into Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast until landfall occurs on the
northern Gulf coast.  Weakening will begin once Cristobal moves
inland late Sunday and Monday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.
 
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane 
Hunter aircraft is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne...3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola 
Bay, and Tampa Bay...1-3 ft
 
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning late
tonight or Sunday morning.
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the eastern and central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 12
inches.   Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the
central Gulf Coast.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local
amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.
This rainfall may lead to flash flooding and widespread flooding on
smaller streams across the Lower to Mid-Mississippi Valley.
 
Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan, bringing isolated storm
totals to 25 inches.  This will continue the threat of
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
 
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur on Sunday across southern
Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southwest Alabama and the western
Florida Panhandle.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next few days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 20

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020  

000
WTNT23 KNHC 061448
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND HAS BEEN REPLACED
WITH COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE BORGNE
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
FLORIDA LINE
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.1W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 345SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.1W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  90.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.6N  90.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.4N  90.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.3N  90.7W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.0N  92.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 47.5N  86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  90.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Discussion Number 20

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020  

000
WTNT43 KNHC 061448
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020
 
Cristobal's satellite presentation continues to lack the appearance 
of a classic tropical cyclone, with a large curved band over the 
northern semicircle and little deep convection near the center.  
The latest flight-level and SFMR-observed surface wind observations 
from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft support a current 
intensity of 45 kt.  Based on the poorly-organized state of 
the system, some dry air entrainment, and interaction with an 
upper-level low, only some slow strengthening is forecast, as in 
the previous advisories.  The NHC intensity forecast remains in 
good agreement with the model consensus.

The storm is moving northward at a slightly slower 10 kt.  There 
has not been much change in the track forecast or forecast 
reasoning.  Cristobal should continue northward through a weakness 
in the subtropical ridge until tomorrow evening, bringing the 
center to the northern Gulf coast in about 36 hours.  Later, a turn 
to the north-northwest, and then back to the north is forecast as 
the cyclone moves between a mid-level ridge and a trough approaching 
the central United States.  In 3-4 days, the post-tropical system 
should accelerate north-northeastward on the east side of the trough
and move into Canada. 
  
Cristobal is likely to remain a broad and asymmetric storm when it
makes landfall.  Therefore, users are urged to not focus on the
exact forecast path as the associated winds, storm surge, and
rainfall will extend well to the east of the center.
 

Key Messages:
 
1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the 
Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of 
the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm 
Surge Warning is in effect for those areas.  Life-threatening storm 
surge remains possible in other portions of southern and 
southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect.  
Residents in these locations should follow advice given by local 
emergency officials.
 
2. Tropical storm force winds are expected by late tonight along the 
northern Gulf Coast from central Louisiana to the western Florida 
Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and a Tropical Storm 
Warning is in effect for this area.  These winds will arrive well 
in advance of and extend well east of Cristobals center.
 
3. Heavy rainfall will continue across west and north Florida today, 
spreading from east to west across the eastern and central Gulf 
Coast from the Florida Panhandle into Louisiana today into Sunday.  
This heavy rain will move into the Lower Mississippi Valley on 
Monday. Significant flooding will be possible on smaller streams, 
especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions of the Gulf 
Coast and Lower Mississippi Valley.
 
4. Damaging and deadly flooding was already occurring in portions of 
Mexico and Central America. Additional rainfall from Cristobal will 
continue to slowly subside, however life-threatening flash floods 
and mudslides will still be possible through today. Refer to 
products from your local weather office for more information.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  06/1500Z 24.2N  90.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  07/0000Z 25.6N  90.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  07/1200Z 27.4N  90.2W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  08/0000Z 29.3N  90.7W   50 KT  60 MPH...ON THE COAST
 48H  08/1200Z 31.5N  91.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 60H  09/0000Z 34.5N  92.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 72H  09/1200Z 38.0N  92.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 96H  10/1200Z 47.5N  86.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  11/1200Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 

Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020


000
FONT13 KNHC 061448
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  2   6( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  2   6( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   2( 2)  13(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   2( 2)  15(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  9  13(22)  11(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   3( 3)  28(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  1   6( 7)  44(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
STENNIS MS     34  1   8( 9)  49(58)   4(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BURAS LA       34  2  33(35)  41(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)  12(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 39  39(78)   6(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)  18(19)   8(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  1  13(14)  54(68)   5(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)  14(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 26  44(70)   9(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   3( 3)  11(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   4( 4)  48(52)   7(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  1  11(12)  50(62)   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   1( 1)  17(18)   7(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   2( 2)  35(37)   5(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   3( 3)  39(42)   4(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  4   7(11)   8(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   1( 1)  15(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
CAMERON LA     34  1   3( 4)  16(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34  3   9(12)  16(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
KEESLER AB     34  3  14(17)  37(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
KEESLER AB     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

Tropical Storm Cristobal Graphics


Tropical Storm Cristobal 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 14:49:42 GMT

Tropical Storm Cristobal 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 15:25:39 GMT

Tropical Storm Cristobal Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map


Tropical Storm Cristobal Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 15:28:27 GMT

Tropical Storm Cristobal Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map


Tropical Storm Cristobal Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 06 Jun 2020 14:49:45 GMT

Local Statement for Lake Charles, LA

Issued at  1012 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at  1115 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 /1015 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020/

Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL

Issued at  1117 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at  1028 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at  1057 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020