Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 272352
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Zeta, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven

Summary for Tropical Storm Zeta (AT3/AL282020)

...ZETA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST  TOMORROW...
 As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Oct 27
 the center of Zeta was located near 23.2, -90.8
 with movement NW at 14 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 990 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Tropical Storm Zeta Public Advisory Number 13A

Issued at 700 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020  

000
WTNT33 KNHC 272350
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
700 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020
 
...ZETA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST 
TOMORROW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 90.8W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Navarre Florida
* Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Pensacola Bay and Mobile Bay
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana
 
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a
life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 90.8 West.  Zeta is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).  A turn toward
the north is expected tonight, and a faster northward to north-
northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Zeta will move over the central Gulf of Mexico
tonight.  Zeta is forecast to approach the northern Gulf Coast on
Wednesday, make landfall within the hurricane warning area late
Wednesday or Wednesday night, and move across the southeastern and
eastern United States on Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Zeta is forecast to become a hurricane again overnight and 
is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it reaches the
northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
 
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 990 mb (29.23 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.
 
STORM SURGE:  Along the northern Gulf Coast, the combination of a
dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas
near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the
shoreline.  The water could reach the following heights above ground
somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide...
 
Mouth of the Pearl River to Dauphin Island AL...5-8 ft
Port Fourchon LA to the Mouth of the Pearl River including Lake
Borgne...4-6 ft
Dauphin Island AL to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft
Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Port Fourchon LA...2-4 ft
AL/FL border to Navarre FL including Pensacola Bay...2-4 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft
Intracoastal City LA to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River
including Vermilion Bay...1-3 ft
Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL including Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint
Andrew Bay...1-3 ft
 
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves.  Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
and can vary greatly over short distances.  For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday, with
tropical storm conditions beginning Wednesday afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning
area on the northern Gulf Coast by late Wednesday, and tropical
storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area
late Wednesday.
 
Damaging winds, especially in gusts, will spread well inland across
portions of southeast Mississippi and southern Alabama Wednesday
night.
 
RAINFALL:  An initial area of heavy rains will begin to impact the
central Gulf Coast tonight, with the core of heavy rains spreading
north into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic through Thursday, near
and in advance of Zeta.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with
isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected across these areas,
resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding.
 
Zeta will produce an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain across
portions of western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula through
tonight.
 
TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are expected Wednesday and Wednesday
night over southeastern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the
western Panhandle of Florida.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 

Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 13

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020  

000
WTNT23 KNHC 272040
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
2100 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE
MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA
* LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 
OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 
SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS 
A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 
OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  90.3W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  90.3W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  90.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.5N  91.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.9N  91.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.4N  87.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.2N  81.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.0N  70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 200SE 200SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  90.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 13

Issued at 400 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020  

000
WTNT43 KNHC 272041
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Storm Zeta Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
400 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020
 
Visible satellite images show that the low-level center of the storm 
is slightly displaced to the north of the main area of deep 
convection.  Since the organization of the tropical cyclone has not 
yet improved, the current intensity is held at 55 kt, which is a 
blend of subjective and objective Dvorak estimates.  Zeta should 
move over warm waters and through a moist, low-shear environment 
through tomorrow morning, so strengthening is anticipated, and the 
cyclone is likely to regain hurricane intensity within the next 6-12 
hours. The NHC intensity forecast is on the high side of the model 
guidance suite. Zeta is expected to interact with a frontal zone 
and become an extratropical cyclone as it approaches the eastern 
United States in a couple of days. After moving off the U.S. east 
coast, the system is forecast to become absorbed by the same frontal 
system.
 
Zeta continues to move northwestward, or at about 310/12 kt.  The 
expected large-scale steering flow evolution remains about the same 
as before.  Zeta is expected to turn northward and move along the 
western side of a mid-level anticyclone centered east of Florida 
through Wednesday morning.  Then, a vigorous 500-mb shortwave trough 
approaching from the west should cause Zeta to accelerate north- 
northeastward and move inland along the central Gulf Coast by late 
Wednesday.  The cyclone should continue to accelerate ahead of the 
trough and move over the southeastern and eastern U.S. through 
Thursday.  The official track forecast was nudged just slightly 
westward in 24 to 36 hours to be in better agreement with the latest 
GFS and ECMWF explicit model fields.
 
Given Zeta's acceleration near landfall, strong winds are likely to 
spread well inland along the northern Gulf coast Wednesday night.
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. A life-threatening storm surge is expected along portions of the
northern Gulf Coast by late Wednesday, with the highest inundation
occurring somewhere between the Mouth of the Pearl River and Dauphin
Island, Alabama. Residents in the Storm Surge Warning area should
follow any advice given by local officials.
 
2. Hurricane conditions are expected by late Wednesday within 
portions of the Hurricane Warning area between Morgan City, 
Louisiana, and the Mississippi/Alabama border. Damaging winds, 
especially in gusts, will spread well inland across portions of 
southeast Mississippi and southern Alabama Wednesday night due to 
Zeta's fast forward speed.
 
3. Localized heavy rainfall from Zeta will continue tonight in 
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and western Cuba where 
additional flash flooding is possible in urban areas. Tonight 
through Thursday heavy rainfall is expected from portions of the 
central U.S. Gulf Coast into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic 
States. This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and 
minor river flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  27/2100Z 22.7N  90.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  28/0600Z 24.5N  91.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 24H  28/1800Z 27.9N  91.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  29/0600Z 32.4N  87.8W   45 KT  50 MPH...INLAND
 48H  29/1800Z 37.2N  81.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  30/0600Z 40.0N  70.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 

Tropical Storm Zeta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020


000
FONT13 KNHC 272040
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020               
2100 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  26(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
ATLANTA GA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   2( 2)  17(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   3( 3)  32(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)  13(13)  15(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)  20(20)  10(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
BIRMINGHAM AL  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)  37(37)   9(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   3( 3)  45(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
WHITING FLD FL 50  X   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   4( 4)  47(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X  14(14)  24(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   5( 5)  68(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
MOBILE AL      50  X   X( X)  36(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
MOBILE AL      64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   7( 7)  69(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)  45(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X  10(10)  61(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
STENNIS MS     50  X   1( 1)  36(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BURAS LA       34  X  33(33)  53(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
BURAS LA       50  X   5( 5)  50(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  6  59(65)  12(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X  15(15)  12(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X  19(19)  43(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   3( 3)  29(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  7  85(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X  79(79)   3(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X  28(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   8( 8)  15(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X  24(24)  19(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   4( 4)  11(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   5( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   8( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  4  25(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MERIDA MX      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34  X   9( 9)  46(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
PENSACOLA NAS  50  X   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
PENSACOLA NAS  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KEESLER AB     34  X  20(20)  60(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
KEESLER AB     50  X   1( 1)  47(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
KEESLER AB     64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

Tropical Storm Zeta Graphics


Tropical Storm Zeta 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 27 Oct 2020 23:50:08 GMT

Tropical Storm Zeta 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 27 Oct 2020 21:25:22 GMT

Tropical Storm Zeta Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics


Tropical Storm Zeta Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Tue, 27 Oct 2020 21:12:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Zeta Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map


Tropical Storm Zeta Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 27 Oct 2020 21:46:14 GMT

Tropical Storm Zeta Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map


Tropical Storm Zeta Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 27 Oct 2020 20:43:34 GMT

Local Statement for Birmingham, AL

Issued at  406 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Local Statement for Lake Charles, LA

Issued at  412 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at  519 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020 /419 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020/

Local Statement for Jackson, MS

Issued at  419 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at  428 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at  459 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Local Statement for Atlanta, GA

Issued at  605 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020